|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair remains range-bound near 1.0505, struggles below 20-day SMA

  • EUR/USD edges slightly lower on Tuesday, hovering around 1.0505 and failing to gain traction.
  • RSI declines mildly to 43, remaining in negative territory and signaling limited buying interest.

The EUR/USD pair continues to tread water on Tuesday, inching down to 1.0505 and showing no clear directional bias. Despite recent attempts to stabilize above the 1.0500 mark, the pair remains capped by the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0550, underscoring the persistent headwinds facing any meaningful recovery.

Technical indicators offer a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped slightly while holding at 43, indicating subdued buying interest and keeping the pair firmly in negative territory. On the other hand, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is printing rising green bars, suggesting some underlying bullish potential. However, this has yet to translate into a sustained push above the 20-day SMA.

Until EUR/USD decisively clears the 20-day SMA, the overall outlook remains tilted to the downside. Immediate support is seen at the psychological 1.0500 level, followed by the 1.0480 area and then the 1.0450 zone. A break below these supports could accelerate selling pressure, while a successful climb above 1.0550 would be needed to shift sentiment and improve the technical stance.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).