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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Flat-lined below 1.0900 mark amid holiday-thinned liquidity

  • EUR/USD was seen oscillating in a range through the early North American session on Monday.
  • The recent range-bound trading action warrants some caution before placing directional bets.

The EUR/USD pair lacked any firm directional bias and seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses through the early North American session on Monday. The downside remained cushioned near 200-period SMA on the 4-hourly chart, around the 1.0870 region.

The mentioned area marks the mid-point of a multi-week-old trading range, which should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders. A convincing breakthrough might be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and prompt some technical selling.

This, in turn, will set the stage for an extension of the pair's recent pullback from the vicinity of 200-day SMA – levels just above the key 1.1000 psychological mark. The downfall could get extended towards the 1.0800 mark en-route the 1.0775 horizontal support.

The latter coincides with the lower end of the mentioned trading range, which if broken decisively, should pave the way for slide further towards the 1.0700 mark. The pair could fall further and bears might then aim to retest YTD lows, around the 1.0635 region.

Conversely, any meaningful positive move beyond the 1.0900 mark now seems to confront some fresh supply near the 1.0950 region. This is closely followed by a resistance marked by the top end of the trading range, around the 1.0975-80 region.

Some follow-through buying beyond the mentioned barrier, leading to a sustained strength above the 1.1000 mark will confirm a near-term bullish breakout and lift the pair further towards an intermediate resistance near the 1.1040-50 region.

EUR/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0892
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open1.0902
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0872
Daily SMA501.0885
Daily SMA1001.0965
Daily SMA2001.1015
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0954
Previous Daily Low1.0885
Previous Weekly High1.1009
Previous Weekly Low1.08
Previous Monthly High1.1039
Previous Monthly Low1.0727
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0912
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0928
Daily Pivot Point S11.0874
Daily Pivot Point S21.0846
Daily Pivot Point S31.0806
Daily Pivot Point R11.0942
Daily Pivot Point R21.0982
Daily Pivot Point R31.101

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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