|

EUR/USD price analysis: Euro steadies near 1.1200 as mixed signals persist

  • EUR/USD trades around the 1.1200 zone with minor gains in Wednesday’s session.
  • Mixed technical signals, with shorter-term averages suggesting selling pressure, while longer-term trends remain supportive.
  • Key support levels hold below, while resistance clusters just above current levels.

The EUR/USD pair traded near the 1.1200 zone on Wednesday after the European session, reflecting a cautiously bullish tone as the market approaches the Asian session. Price action remains within the middle of its daily range, indicating balanced sentiment despite a mixed technical backdrop. While shorter-term momentum indicators signal caution, the broader trend remains supported by longer-term averages, providing a foundation for further upside if recent gains hold.

From a technical standpoint, the pair presents a complex picture. The Relative Strength Index hovers around 40, reflecting neutral conditions without clear directional momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence, however, signals sell momentum, aligning with the cautious tone of the shorter-term moving averages. The Williams Percent Range also remains in neutral territory, suggesting the pair lacks immediate directional conviction. Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index trades in the 30s, pointing to a modest bullish bias, while the Bull Bear Power indicator further supports the buy sentiment, hinting at underlying strength.

The moving averages paint a divided picture. The 20-day Simple Moving Average continues to slope downward, reinforcing near-term resistance. In contrast, the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages, along with the 30-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages, provide stronger underlying support, indicating that the broader trend remains intact despite short-term fluctuations.

Support levels are found at 1.1199, 1.1128, and 1.1092. Resistance lies at 1.1238, 1.1242, and 1.1242. A sustained move above the immediate resistance zone could confirm a broader breakout, while a break below support might trigger a short-term correction, potentially testing the lower end of the recent range.

Daily Chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).