|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls push higher but overbought signals hint at correction

  • EUR/USD holds gains after the European session, trading near the 1.0870 area and marking fresh highs since November 2024.
  • The 20 and 100-day moving averages are nearing a bullish crossover, while overbought RSI suggests a possible correction.
  • Immediate resistance is seen near 1.0900 while key support lies at 1.0800.

The EUR/USD pair stands higher on Friday after the European session, reaching its strongest level since November 2024 above 1.0800 as bullish momentum continued to build. Buyers remain firmly in control, driving the pair into fresh territory, with price action now reflecting strong upward momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned in overbought territory and rising sharply, indicating strong buying pressure but also signaling that the rally could face exhaustion soon. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is printing rising green bars, reinforcing the current bullish outlook. A notable development is the approaching bullish crossover between the 20-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), which could further support buyers if confirmed.

On the technical front, resistance is now seen near the 1.0900 zone, with a break above potentially opening the door for further gains toward 1.0950. On the downside, immediate support stands around 1.0800, followed by 1.0700 and well below the 20 and 100-day SMA convergence near 1.0500. If selling pressure emerges, a pullback toward these levels could signal a technical correction before another bullish attempt.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold sinks to over two-month low as higher-for-longer interest rate expectations weigh

Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,100 on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while energy-driven inflation concerns from Middle East tensions reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain elevated longer.

Dogecoin stays weak despite whales and new deal

Dogecoin price remains under pressure, trading below $0.081 despite a modest rebound earlier this week. Santiment data shows signs of accumulation, and Wednesday’s announcement of a Dogecoin Labs partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation adds a mildly bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives metrics and weakening momentum indicators continue to limit the meme coin recovery.

3 Gold forecasts at $4,100: A bullish Arc rejection, a bearish Fed setup and a festival tiebreaker

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,100, and the three latest analyses cannot agree on what the level means: one sees the bounce from support as confirmation of a potential push toward $4,227, another argues every rally is vulnerable while price sits under its 20-day EMA, and the third points to India's Diwali buying season as the physical test about to meet the market.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.