|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls push higher but overbought signals hint at correction

  • EUR/USD holds gains after the European session, trading near the 1.0870 area and marking fresh highs since November 2024.
  • The 20 and 100-day moving averages are nearing a bullish crossover, while overbought RSI suggests a possible correction.
  • Immediate resistance is seen near 1.0900 while key support lies at 1.0800.

The EUR/USD pair stands higher on Friday after the European session, reaching its strongest level since November 2024 above 1.0800 as bullish momentum continued to build. Buyers remain firmly in control, driving the pair into fresh territory, with price action now reflecting strong upward momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned in overbought territory and rising sharply, indicating strong buying pressure but also signaling that the rally could face exhaustion soon. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is printing rising green bars, reinforcing the current bullish outlook. A notable development is the approaching bullish crossover between the 20-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), which could further support buyers if confirmed.

On the technical front, resistance is now seen near the 1.0900 zone, with a break above potentially opening the door for further gains toward 1.0950. On the downside, immediate support stands around 1.0800, followed by 1.0700 and well below the 20 and 100-day SMA convergence near 1.0500. If selling pressure emerges, a pullback toward these levels could signal a technical correction before another bullish attempt.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.