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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Breaks under the 1.1300 figure as bears eye 2021 yearly low

  • On Thursday, the euro edges lower some 0.11%.
  • A risk-off market mood and higher US bond yields boost the greenback prospects.
  • EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bearish biases, but a daily close below the 1.1300 figure could accelerate the downtrend towards the 2021 yearly low at 1.1186.

The shared currency slumps as the North American session ends, trading at 1.1293 at the time of writing. Market conditions worsened as the US equity markets indices closed in the red, with losses between 0.04% and 0,47%, favoring the greenback’s prospects to the detriment of the euro.

Also, as Wall Street closes, the US 10-year Treasury yield advances 2.99 basis points, sitting at 1.7299%, underpins the greenback. The US Dollar Index, which measures the buck’s value against six peers, advances 0.11%, up at 96.26.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

On Thursday, during the overnight session, the EUR/USD seesawed around the daily pivot point in the 1.1300-18 range, ahead of the European session. In the overlap of the Asian and European session, the EUR]/USD dipped to 1.1285, followed by a jump above the confluence of the 100 and the 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) at 1.1313 and 1.1317, respectively, reaching a daily high of 1.1332.

At press time, the euro is under selling pressure, as witnessed by the price action around the daily pivot point, which shows seven candlesticks, with just one piercing aggressively upwards, surrendered later, as sellers meander around the confluence of the 100 and the 200-hour SMA.

On the downside, the first support would be the S1 daily pivot point at 1.1278. A break under that level exposes crucial support levels like the January 4 daily low at 1.1272, followed by the upslope trendline around 1.1255-60 area, and then the S2 daily pivot point at 1.1243.

To the upside, the EUR/USD first resistance would be the confluence of the daily pivot point and the 100 and 200-hour SMA around the 1.1310-20 area. The breach of the latter would expose the January 5 daily high at 1.1346, followed by the January 3 cycle high at 1.1366.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1298
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.1311
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1307
Daily SMA501.1363
Daily SMA1001.1531
Daily SMA2001.1747
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1347
Previous Daily Low1.1277
Previous Weekly High1.1386
Previous Weekly Low1.1274
Previous Monthly High1.1386
Previous Monthly Low1.1222
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.132
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1304
Daily Pivot Point S11.1277
Daily Pivot Point S21.1242
Daily Pivot Point S31.1207
Daily Pivot Point R11.1346
Daily Pivot Point R21.1381
Daily Pivot Point R31.1416

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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