|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: A pennant breakout in the offing, eyes on 1.2200

  • EUR/USD looks set to test 1.2200, fresh multi-year tops.
  • A pennant breakout is likely on the hourly chart.
  • RSI stays bullish while the spot recaptured 21-HMA.

EUR/USD is prepping up for an upside break from its choppy trend around 1.2150, as the bulls regain control in the European session.

The risk sentiment hanging in balance amid US stimulus hopes, renewed coronavirus concerns while investors await the FOMC decision for fresh directives.

From a near-term technical perspective, the main currency pair is on the verge of confirming a pennant breakout if it manages to close the hour above the falling trendline resistance at 1.2156.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks north above the 50.00 level, backing the case for the additional upside. Meanwhile, the price has managed to regain the horizontal 21-hourly moving average (HMA) at 1.2150.

The next stop for the bulls is seen at the 2020 tops of 1.2178, above which a test of the 1.2200 level is inevitable.

On the flip side, the 21-HMA could offer immediate support. A breach of the last could bring the 50-HMA resistance now support at 1.2139 back in play.

An hourly closing below the rising trendline support at 1.2131 could revive the EUR bears, exposing the critical support at 1.2127, where the 100-HMA coincides with the 200-HMA.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

 

EUR/USD: Additional levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2158
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.2147
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2003
Daily SMA501.1867
Daily SMA1001.1834
Daily SMA2001.146
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2177
Previous Daily Low1.2116
Previous Weekly High1.2166
Previous Weekly Low1.2059
Previous Monthly High1.2003
Previous Monthly Low1.1603
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2153
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2139
Daily Pivot Point S11.2116
Daily Pivot Point S21.2086
Daily Pivot Point S31.2055
Daily Pivot Point R11.2178
Daily Pivot Point R21.2208
Daily Pivot Point R31.2239

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold trades flat as stronger US Dollar offsets easing Fed rate-hike bets

Gold trades little changed on Monday after giving back most of its early gains. The metal remains caught between easing Fed interest-rate hike bets and a stronger US Dollar (USD), while US Treasury yields also remain elevated near multi-year highs.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin rally slows while Ethereum and XRP extend recovery amid slowing ETF inflows

Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.