• EUR/USD plummets as speculation of a Fed pivot abated.
  • US Services PMIs were mixed, though the ISM remained at expansionary territory.
  • EU’s services activity weakened, except for France, growing at a mild pace.

The EUR/USD is erasing some of Tuesday’s gains as speculations of a Fed pivot towards a dovish stance faded, as shown by US T-bond yields rising again, while US Services PMI data, even though slowed, remains at expansionary territory. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at 0.9852 after hitting a daily high close to parity.

EUR/USD dropped on a strong US dollar

Sentiment deteriorated, as previously mentioned, as a possible Fed pivot faded. US economic data revealed during the day showed that private payrolls increased by 208K, as depicted by the ADP National Employment for September. Later in the day, economic activity in the Services sector showed mixed readings, though the ISM flashed that the economy is still expanding at a slower pace.

The S&P Global Services and Composite PMIs came at 49.3 and 49.5, respectively. Nevertheless, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI dived to 56.7, less than August’s 56.9 but exceeded estimations of 56.0. Given the backdrop, the US economy stayed resilient amidst an aggressive tightening cycle by the US Federal Reserve, therefore bolstering the greenback.

Hence, the EUR/USD dipped 130 pips on the day towards current exchange rates. In the meantime, the US 10-year Treasury bond yield is rising 16 bps, up at 3.781%, a headwind for the EUR/USD.

At the same time, the US Department of Commerce reported that the US Trade deficit narrowed by 4.3% to $67.4 billion in August, the lowest since May 2021.

Aside from this, the Eurozone reported that business activity slowed, as shown by the S&P Global PMI survey, further cementing the case of the EU’s getting into a recession as a stagflation scenario looms. Services activity weakened in Germany, Italy, and Spain, except for France, though it grew weaker than estimated.

EUR/USD Key Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.9855
Today Daily Change -0.0131
Today Daily Change % -1.31
Today daily open 0.9986
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9893
Daily SMA50 1.0021
Daily SMA100 1.0234
Daily SMA200 1.0641
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1
Previous Daily Low 0.9806
Previous Weekly High 0.9854
Previous Weekly Low 0.9536
Previous Monthly High 1.0198
Previous Monthly Low 0.9536
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9926
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.988
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9862
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9737
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9668
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0055
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0124
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0249

 

 

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