|

EUR/USD: Outlook remains unclear – UOB

EUR/USD is still seen within a consolidative phase in the near term, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We did not anticipate the strong rise in EUR to 1.1364 last Friday (we were expecting sideway-trading). The sharp and swift advance appears to have room to extend but in view of the overbought conditions, the major resistance at 1.1395 is unlikely to come under threat (1.1375 is already quite a strong level). Support is at 1.1335 but only a breach of 1.1320 would indicate that the current upward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held the same view since last Tuesday (04 Jan, spot at 1.1305) where the outlook for EUR is unclear and we expected EUR to trade between 1.1240 and 1.1395. There is no change in our view for now even though after the sharp rise to 1.1364 last Friday, upward momentum has improved a tad. Looking ahead, EUR has to close above 1.1395 before a sustained rise can be expected.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off one-week low amid Iran diplomacy hopes, ahead of UK CPI

The GBP/USD pair edges higher during the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak to the 1.3360 area, or a one-week low, touched the previous day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through buying and trade below the 1.3400 mark, warranting caution before confirming that the recent pullback from an over two-month high has run its course.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

Bitcoin extends gains, Ethereum and XRP target breakout moves

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain on the front foot on Wednesday as the broader crypto market extends its gains so far this week. BTC leads gains after closing above key resistance while ETH and XRP near key technical hurdles where a breakout could pave the way for additional gains.

UK CPI set to show receding inflation in June as GBP/USD fails at May highs

The UK Office for National Statistics will release the June Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT, a print that will matter for markets. Consensus expectations point to inflation pressures still above the Bank of England’s target, although losing further momentum.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.