EUR/USD: offered at 30-day MA, golden warning ahead of US durable goods report

The EUR/USD is having a tough time scaling the 30-day moving average.
Gold's decline could be an indication there is plenty upside in the greenback.
Focus on US durable goods orders report.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

The 30-day moving average (MA) is proving a tough nut to crack for the EUR bulls despite rising odds of a full-blown trade war between the US and the rest of the world.

The EUR/USD's three-day winning streak came to a halt yesterday as the common currency ran into offers around the 30-day MA and fell to 1.1635. At press time, the currency pair is trading at 1.1660 and the 30-day MA is located at 1.1689.

Golden warning

While it is too early to say the corrective rally from the recent low of 1.1508 has ended, the EUR bulls are forewarned against being too ambitious by gold's rapid decline.

The yellow metal, also a hard currency with limited supply, is taking a bearing against the greenback despite trade war fears and risk aversion. Also, gold cannot be printed out of thin air (QE) like other paper currencies. Still, the metal is on the defensive against the USD. SO, the EUR and other paper currencies likely have a limited upside scope against the greenback.

Focus on durable goods report

The USD may find fresh bids if the US durable goods orders (due at 12.30 GMT) betters market expectations. The US goods trade balance and pending home sales figure could also influence the USD demand.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 1.1689 (30-day MA), 1.1823 (50-day MA), 1.1852 (double bottom neckline).

Support: 1.1644 (session low), 1.1622 (10-day MA), 1.16 (psychological level).

	TREND INDEX	OB/OS INDEX	VOLATILY INDEX
15M	Bearish	Neutral	High
1H	Bullish	Neutral	Low
4H	Bearish	Neutral	Low
1D	Bearish	Neutral	Shrinking
1W	Strongly Bearish	Oversold	Expanding
Updated Jun 27, 04:00 GMT

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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