|

EUR/USD: Needs to make progress through the 1.04 resistance – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is steady around the 1.04 zone, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.  

EUR steady around 1.04

“ECB Governor Escriva remarked earlier that the central bank needed to move to a neutral stance in the coming months. However, Governor Holzmann remains cautious on near-term ECB easing, suggesting he needs ‘good arguments’ to support a rate cut next week. President Lagarde commented that the central bank will maintain its ‘measured’ easing steps yesterday.

“Swaps continue to price in a 1/4 point cut for next week’s meeting. The EUR is holding a tight range intraday after another test of —and failure at—retracement resistance at 1.0422 yesterday. The low 1.04 area has been a block on EUR rebounds since December but the level on the chart is a bit more meaningful now as 1.0422 represents the initial (23.6%) retracement of the EUR’s slide from 1.12.”

“A clear push through the low 1.04 zone should see spot gains extend towards 1.05/1.06. Support is 1.0350.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and approaches 1.1800. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 reaffirms the bullish bias.

GBP/USD climbs to 1.3500 area, renews ten-week high

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October near 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the holidays, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the broad-based US Dollar (USD) weakness ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.