|

EUR/USD nears session tops but lacks momentum, around mid-1.2200s

The EUR/USD pair once again managed to catch some bids ahead of the 1.2200 handle and has now rebounded around 40-pips from session lows. 

The pair opened with a modest bullish gap at the start of a new week and was being supported by some positive development over ending a political deadlock in Germany. However, the prospect of another German election in February was still not ruled out and eventually capped any additional gains. 

Meanwhile, a modest US Dollar rebound, following the initial weakness led by a partial shutdown of the US government, dragged the pair to an intraday low level of 1.2214. The dip was quickly bought into amid some fresh USD selling bias since the early European session and was further supported by the usual positive tone on the German economy from Bundesbank's monthly report.

Despite good two-way moves, the pair seemed lacking any firm directional bias and the price action now seems to suggest traders' indecision ahead of the next big event risk - ECB monetary policy decision on Thursday. This along with important US macro data would help determine the next leg of directional move.

Technical levels to watch

Momentum beyond 1.2280 level might continue to confront some fresh supply near the 1.2300 handle above which the pair is likely to dart back towards 3-year highs resistance near the 1.2325 region.

On the flip side, weakness back below 1.2235 level might continue to find an immediate support near the 1.2215-10 region, which if broken could accelerate the fall back towards 1.2185-80 support area.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.