|

EUR/USD may edge higher within a range of 1.1360/1.1420 – UOB Group

Upward momentum is slowing, but Euro (EUR) could edge higher within a range of 1.1360/1.1420 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, a decisive break above 1.1435 could push EUR to 1.1475, with potential for further gains, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

A decisive break above 1.1435 can push EUR to 1.1475

24-HOUR VIEW: "We highlighted yesterday that EUR 'could test the major resistance at 1.1400, but a sustained rise above this level is unlikely.' We pointed out, 'the next major resistance at 1.1435 is also unlikely to come under threat.' Our analysis turned out to be correct, as EUR rose to 1.1418 and then eased off to close at 1.1387, up 0.20%. Although upward momentum is slowing, there is scope for EUR to edge higher today. However, any advance is likely part of a 1.1360/1.1420 range. To put it another way, EUR is unlikely to break clearly above 1.1420."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Thursday (22 May, spot at 1.1325), we indicated that 'the price action suggests further EUR strength, with 1.1400 now in focus.' Yesterday (26 May), when EUR was at 1.1370, we stated that 'the likelihood of EUR breaking above 1.1400 is increasing.' We also stated that 'should EUR break above 1.1400, there is a relatively nearby resistance at 1.1435.' EUR/USD subsequently rose to a high of 1.1418. As stated, the next level to monitor is 1.1435. A decisive break above 1.1435 could push EUR to 1.1475, with potential for further gains. Conversely, should EUR break below 1.1320 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.1275), it would mean that the EUR strength from the middle of last week (see annotations in the chart below) has come to an end."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).