EUR/USD likely to continue moving lower, targeting 0.95 in 12 months – Danske Bank
According to analysts from Danske Bank, the US dollar will continue to move higher versus the euro over the next months. They forecast the EUR/USD pair at 0.96 in a trhee months period and at 0.95 in a year.
Key Quotes:
“The large negative terms-of-trade shock to Europe vs US, a further cyclical weakening among trading partners, the coordinated tightening of global financial conditions, broadening USD strength and downside risk to the euro area makes us keep our focus on EUR/USD moving still lower (targeting 0.95) – a view not shared by the consensus.”
“The key risk to shift EUR/USD towards 1.15 is seeing global inflation pressures fade and industrial production increase. However, ‘transitory’ has substantially lost credibility and European industrial production continues to be weak. This will continue as manufacturing PMIs heads below 50. The upside risk also include a renewed focus on easing Chinese credit policy and a global capex uptick but neither appear to be materialising, at present.”
Author
Matías Salord
FXStreet
Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.
