|

EUR/USD in a phase of consolidation near 1.1800 ahead US CPI

  • DXY remains broadly subdued near 3-week lows.
  • EUR lifted on EU growth story.
  • US CPI and retail sales data in focus.

The EUR/USD pair extends its overnight consolidative mode near three-week tops into Asia, as the bulls await the key US macro releases for the next push higher.  

EUR/USD poised to test Oct 26th high at 1.1837

Having reached fresh multi-week highs at 1.1805 levels in the last US session, the bulls took a breather in the Asian trades, as broad-based USD selling stalled, with attention now turning towards the US inflation and retail sales data slated for release later in the NA session.

On Tuesday, EUR/USD rallied almost 150 pips, as the rates received double booster shot from solid German and Eurozone growth numbers, while the greenback was dumped across the board in tandem with Treasury yields, in the wake of rising uncertainty over the US tax reforms, and as markets now assess its impact on the economy.  

Further, a positive surprise delivered by the US PPI data also failed to offer some respite to the USD, as a Dec Fed rate hike is already priced. The USD index now meanders near three-week lows of 93.64, almost unchanged on the day.

Ahead of the US data, the pair will continue to track the USD dynamics and risk trends for fresh momentum.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet., noted: “According to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as technical indicators head north within an overbought territory, while the 20 SMA accelerated higher, maintaining its upward slope after crossing above the 100 SMA, both far below the current level. The pair has also broken above the 200 SMA, above all of its moving averages for the first time since mid-September. A strong resistance area comes now between 1.1820 and 1.1830, where selling have proved strong multiple times in the past. Beyond it, and despite overbought conditions, the rally will likely continue toward the 1.1900 figure.”  

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.