EUR/USD holds below 1.14, economists push out the ECB rate hike forecast

The pair charted a doji yesterday. A break below 1.1370 would signal a continuation of the sell-off.
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.1393, having hit a two-week low of 1.1370 yesterday.
The common currency has retraced 50 percent of the rally from the Nov. 12 low of 1.1215 to Jan. 10 high of 1.1570.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

Indeed, the pair created a doji candle yesterday, which represents indecision in the market place. However, do not rule out the bears just yet, as the slowdown in the Eurozone economy could force the European Central Bank (ECB) to delay rate hikes.

Notably, economists polled by Reuters expect the ECB to hike rates in the four quarter as opposed to the previous forecast of a third-quarter rate hike. The central bank is seen raising its deposit rate, currently at -0.40 percent, to -0.20 percent in the fourth quarter and would wait until early 2020 to raise its refinancing rate from zero to 0.20 percent.

The rising odds of the ECB rate hike delay could keep the EUR under pressure.

As a result, EUR/USD is more likely to invalidate bearish exhaustion signaled by yesterday's doji with a move below 1.1370. The bearish pressure would weaken if the pair closes above the 10-day EMA, currently at 1.1420.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 1.1396
    Today Daily change: 4 pips
    Today Daily change %: 0.0439%
    Today Daily Open: 1.1391
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.1429
    Daily SMA50: 1.1385
    Daily SMA100: 1.1465
    Daily SMA200: 1.1609
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 1.1406
    Previous Daily Low: 1.137
    Previous Weekly High: 1.1571
    Previous Weekly Low: 1.1396
    Previous Monthly High: 1.1486
    Previous Monthly Low: 1.1269
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.1384
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.1393
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.1372
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.1353
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.1336
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1409
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.1426
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.1445

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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