|

EUR/USD falls back below 1.1700 handle amid re-emerging Turkish crisis

   •  A modest USD rebound prompts some selling in the last hour or so.
   •  Turkish Lira crisis weigh on EUR and add to the downward pressure.
   •  Further downside remains limited ahead of flash German CPI print.

The EUR/USD pair faded an early European session bullish spike and quickly retreated around 40-45 pips from an intraday high level of 1.1718.

The pair struggled to build on the overnight positive momentum and remained capped below four-week tops set on Tuesday amid a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand supported by an upward revision of the US GDP growth figures on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, reemerging Turkey's currency crisis exerted some additional downward pressure on the shared currency and further collaborated to the pair's weaker tone. In fact, the Turkish Lira extended its decline on Thursday and was down nearly 2.5% against the US Dollar, with the USD/TRY pair moving beyond 6.50 level and triggering typical safe-haven flows into the greenback. 

The downside, so far, has been limited and the pair has managed to find some support ahead of precious session's swing low level of 1.1652 as market participants now look forward to the release of flash German CPI figures. 

This coupled with the US macroeconomic releases, which includes the core PCE price index, personal income/spending data and the usual initial weekly jobless claims might also help traders grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support remains near mid-1.1600s, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the fall back towards the 1.1600 handle before eventually dropping to its next major support near the 1.1535-30 region.

On the flip side, any up-move beyond the 1.1700 handle might continue to face resistance near the 1.1740-50 region, which if cleared should pave the way for an extension of the pair's near-term bullish trajectory.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls hard to test 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure in Friday's Asian trading, attacking the 0.7100 level. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold keeps testing 200-day SMA ahead of the key US NFP data

Gold is reversing a part of the previous rebound early Friday, back around the $4,450 level as markets trade with caution amid a deadlock in the Gulf conflict and ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls data release.  


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.