|

EUR/USD extends the bounce, eyes on 1.1880 ahead of US ADP

  • DXY drops on Govt shutdown fears, Fedspeak.
  • Risk-aversion, EUR/GBP flows underpin.
  • Awaits the German factory orders, EZ retail PMI & US ADP.

The recovery attempts in the EUR/USD pair from nine-day troughs finally surpassed the stiff resistances located near 1.1830, the confluence zone of daily pivot and 20-DMA, with the rates now heading for a test of 1.1850 levels.

The sentiment around the main currency pair remains lifted amid a broadly weaker US dollar, as markets weigh in the chances of a US government shutdown, in the wake of the government funding to expire this Friday.

Additionally, Chicago Fed President Evans anxiousness to hike rates in December also aggravated the pain in the buck. The USD index extends the overnight losses and hit fresh daily lows of 93.16, down -0.12% on the day.

Also, moderate risk-aversion persisting in the markets amid the latest North Korea headlines and resultant fall in the Asian equities offers some support to the funding currency Euro.

Meanwhile, the cross-driven strength also continues to boost EUR/USD, as the EUR/GBP cross benefits from ongoing weakness in Cable on the back of the renewed political tensions surrounding the UK economy.

Later today, the pair will get influenced by the releases of the German factory orders, Eurozone retail PMI and US ADP employment data.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, writes: “The technical picture is any way bearish short-term, as in the 4 hours chart, the pair extended its decline below its 20 SMA, which continued capping the upside around 1.1870/80, whilst technical indicators remain within the bearish territory, with the RSI heading south at 39. Furthermore, the pair is currently struggling with its 100 SMA, first time around the indicator since November 13th. Support levels: 1.1805 1.1760 1.1725. Resistance levels: 1.1835 1.1880 1.1930.”                                                     

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.1650 with fading momentum

EUR/USD holds ground after five days of losses, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian hours on Friday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 39 trends lower, confirming fading momentum rather than oversold conditions.

GBP/USD remains below 1.3450, nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 1.3430 during the Asian hours on Friday. The momentum indicator 14-day Relative Strength Index at 51.9 is neutral, reflecting slower momentum after firm recent readings. An RSI drop back beneath 50 would strengthen the case for a deeper pullback.

Gold edges lower as USD preserves its recent gains ahead of US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar preserves its gains registered over the past two weeks and touches a nearly one-month high, undermining the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple find key support, reviving rally hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple steadied above key support levels on Friday after being rejected at mid-week resistance zones. The short-term recovery prospects remain intact if the top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization hold these support zones.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE risks 100-day EMA fallout as bullish interest fades

Pepe is under extreme selling pressure, trading in the red for the fifth consecutive day, down 1% at press time on Friday. Pepe’s decline following a 72% hike last week suggests a likely profit-booking phase, while on-chain data indicates declining network activity.