|

EUR/USD drops to fresh weekly low as DXY spikes to 100.00 mark

The EUR/USD pair remained under selling pressure for the third consecutive day and prolonged its rejection move from the very important 200-day SMA strong hurdle touched on Monday. 

Currently trading at fresh weekly low, around 1.0735 region, a follow through greenback recovery, with the key US Dollar Index reclaiming the key 100.00 psychological mark, has been the key factor weighing on the major. Overnight optimistic remarks from two Fed officials - Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren (non-voting member), remained supportive of the positive sentiment surrounding the greenback. 

This coupled with a Reuters report on Wednesday, which revealed ECB would leave its monetary policy message unchanged and reassure investors that the central bank is not considering a further reduction in its monetary easing efforts, further weighed on the shared currency. The report poured cold water on market expectations that ECB would start raising interest-rates as early as next year and collaborated to the pair's slide to its lowest level since March 21.

Today's economic docket features the release of Prelim German CPI print for March, followed by the final Q4 US GDP growth numbers along with the usual weekly jobless claims data, later during the NA session. Later during the day, speeches from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and San Francisco Fed President John Williams, would influence the US Dollar price-dynamics and provide fresh impetus. 

Technical levels to watch

Bears would be eyeing for a break through 1.0720 immediate support, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slide towards 1.0675 intermediate support en-route 100-day SMA support near 1.0640 region.

On the upside, 1.0765 level (session high) now seems to act as immediate resistance, which if cleared has the potential to lift the pair back beyond the 1.0800 handle towards testing its next hurdle near 1.0820 area.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.0790
100.0%90.0%60.0%0606570758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 60% Bullish
  • 30% Bearish
  • 10% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.0645
100.0%72.0%22.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 22% Bullish
  • 50% Bearish
  • 28% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0542
100.0%89.0%22.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 22% Bullish
  • 67% Bearish
  • 11% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.