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EUR/USD: Dollar remains bid as coronavirus reigns

  • COVID-19 continues to spread, intensifying fears of deeper economic contraction. 
  • Dollar draws haven bids, keeping EUR/USD under pressure. 
  • The US initial jobless claims data may bolster risk-off.

The American dollar is drawing bids for the fourth straight day, keeping EUR/USD on the defensive below 1.0950. The currency pair has erased more than 40 percent of the recent rise from 1.0636 to 1.1148 seen in the five trading days to March 27. 

The dollar is pushing higher on lingering concerns that coronavirus outbreak, which is showing no signs of slowing down, will lead to a prolonged global economic recession. These fears kept the US stocks under pressure on Wednesday. 

Wall Street dived 4% as President Trump warned America to brace for painful two weeks. Meanwhile, the White House projected that the coronavirus pandemic could claim 100,000 to 240,000 lives, even if social distancing guidelines are maintained.

Asian stocks followed suit and registered notable losses in early trade on Thursday. The risk-off sentiment, however, appears to have weakened at press time. Stocks in China, Hong Kong, and South Korea are now reporting gains alongside a 1.4 percent rise in the S&P 500 futures. If the European stocks open on a positive note, the downside move seen in EUR/USD may stall. 

Focus on US initial jobless claims

Morgan Stanley analysts expect the official data, due at 12:30 GMT, to show the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance exceeded 4.45 million in the week ended March 27 versus preceding week's figure of 3.283 million.

Risk-off will likely worsen, adding to bearish pressures around EUR/USD if the jobless claims blow past expectations. Apart from the weekly employment data, the pair could take cues from the US trade balance and factory orders, also scheduled for release during the North American trading hours. The European data calendar is light with just Eurozone Producer Price Index, due for release at 09:00 GMT. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0939
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.0962
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1046
Daily SMA501.0995
Daily SMA1001.1049
Daily SMA2001.1077
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1039
Previous Daily Low1.0903
Previous Weekly High1.1147
Previous Weekly Low1.0636
Previous Monthly High1.1497
Previous Monthly Low1.0636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0955
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0987
Daily Pivot Point S11.0897
Daily Pivot Point S21.0832
Daily Pivot Point S31.0761
Daily Pivot Point R11.1033
Daily Pivot Point R21.1104
Daily Pivot Point R31.1169


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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