|

EUR/USD: Consolidation near mid-1.18s to extend ahead of US data

  • Back near 5-DMA of 1.1862.
  • Resurgent USD demand caps recovery.
  • Focus shifts to US data amid light trading.

The EUR/USD pair continued to find support near 1.1850 levels amid thin liquidity conditions, now looking to retain the bids as attention turns towards the key US datasets due on the cards later today.

EUR/USD: Sell the bounce?

The spot witnessed a choppy session a day before amid a lack of fresh catalysts and slow volumes, as most major markets were closed in observance of Boxing Day holiday. So far this session, the funding currency, Euro, is seen making minor-recovery attempts amid moderate risk-aversion, as markets remain on a cautious footing heading into the New Year.

Also, the recent strength seen across the commodities’ space combined with dismal US durable goods data, core PCE price index and Richmond Fed manufacturing index, undermine the prospects of the Fed rate hike plans next year, which lend support to the main currency pair.

Further, Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, noted: “Beyond thin holiday's trading, the greenback has become unattractive ever since the latest Fed's meeting, and there's little that can change that until February when Powell takes over the presidency of the central bank.“

Later today, the major will await the US CB consumer confidence and pending home sales data release for fresh trading impetus, as the EUR docket is absolutely dry today.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Bednarik added, “The 4 hours chart for the EUR/USD pair has little to offer, as it retains a neutral stance, albeit with the risk lean towards the upside, as the price develops above all of its moving averages, while also stands above the 61.8% retracement of the December decline between 1.1939 and 1.1717 at 1.1855. Seems unlikely that the pair could see some relevant moves during the rest of the week and ahead of another long weekend, with buying interest probably surging on approaches to the 1.1800 region. Support levels: 1.1855 1.1830 1.1800. Resistance levels: 1.1900 1.1940 1.1975.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY keeps range above 160.00 after BoJ's rate hike

USD/JPY holds losses and maintains its range above 160.00 on Tuesday, following the release of the Bank of Japan monetary policy decision. The BoJ hiked the key rate by 25 bps to 1% as widely, providing little to no impetus to the Japanese Yen. The focus is now on the BoJ' Uchida's press conference.


AUD/USD turns south toward 0.7050, with all eyes on RBA verdict

AUID/USD has come under renewed selling pressure and nears 0.7050 in Asia on Tuesday. Traders prefer to stay on the sidelines ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the mixed Chinese activity data failed to inspire the Aussie bulls amid fading US-Iran deal optimism.


$4,400: Gold sellers set to retain control whilst below this level; focus shifts to Fed

Gold holds a pullback from six-day highs of $4,369 as buyers take a breather early Tuesday. The US Dollar looks to fill Monday’s bearish opening gap as markets temper Iran deal optimism. Technically, Gold remains exposed to downside risks whilst below the 21-day SMA near $4,400.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin weighs BOJ hikes interest rate to 1%, Uniswap and LayerZero sustain

Bitcoin is holding above $65,000 at press time on Tuesday as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raises its interest rate to 1%, shifting focus away from the US-Iran peace agreement. Uniswap (UNI) and LayerZero edge lower on Tuesday but outpace the broader market over the last 24 hours as the retail sentiment recovers.

Kevin Warsh opens first Fed meeting June 16 with rate hold expected
Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate in a 54-45 vote and sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on 22 May 2026. The ceremony took place at the White House, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. The FOMC meeting on 16 and 17 June is his first as chair. The June meeting is also a quarterly projection meeting.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.