|

EUR/USD consolidating after yesterday’s sharp reversal from yearly tops

After yesterday's sharp reversal move, the EUR/USD pair has now moved into a consolidation phase and was seen oscillating within 20-pips narrow trading range.

With investors moving beyond the initial positive reaction to Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the closely watched French Presidential election on Sunday, the pair on Monday was being weighed down by increasing odds for an eventual Fed rate-hike action. Rising US treasury bond yields further reinforced market expectations and has kept a lid on any of the pair's attempted recovery move. 

   •  The Macron trade was short-lived - ANZ

The pair, however, seems to have found some support just ahead of the 1.0900 handle amid subdued greenback price-action, with the key US Dollar Index holding stable around the 99.00 handle. 

On the economic data front, the release of industrial production and trade balance figures from Germany are due during European session, while from the US the release of JOLTS job openings might provide some opportunities for short-term traders.

   •  Key US data preview: JOLTS to show a long-term slowdown in job openings growth? - Nomura

Apart from the second-tier economic releases, speeches by couple of FOMC members - Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Dallas Fed President Robert Steven Kaplan, might influence investors' expectations over the central bank's near-term monetary policy outlook and would also be looked upon for some impetus. 

Technical levels to watch

Bears would be eyeing for a follow through weakness below 1.0915 immediate support, which if broken should extend the pair’s corrective slide towards 1.0885 intermediate support en-route mid-1.0800s.

On the upside, 1.0945-50 area now seems to act as immediate hurdle, above which the pair is likely to make a fresh attempt towards reclaiming the key 1.1000 psychological mark hurdle and head back towards multi-month tops resistance near 1.1020-25 region. 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.