For the Swedish krona, focus remains on the business cycle, risk sentiment and a Fed, where economists at Danske Bank believe that a gradually stronger USD will help pushing EUR/SEK higher over the medium-term.
EUR/SEK seen at 10.40 on a 12-month view
“Focus remains on the global business cycle, risk sentiment and a less accommodative FED, where our baseline is that a gradually stronger USD will help pushing EUR/SEK higher over the medium-term.”
“Furthermore, the steep drop in Swedish inflation will keep any monetary policy tightening at bay – and Board members alert to any premature appreciation of the krona. While there are always risks associated with Riksbank announcements, our best guess is that the upcoming one will not be a major market mover.”
“We raise our 1M forecast to 10.20 (10.10) and keep 3, 6 and 12M intact at 10.20, 10.30 and 12M 10.40.”
“If the RB pencils in a hike at the end of the horizon (not our baseline), it would weigh on EUR/SEK. Conversely, if even a small probability for a cut is pencilled in (unlikely), it would send EUR/SEK substantially higher.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.