In view of analysts at Deutsche Bank, despite the large move this year in Euro, they see risks of a drift above their 1.20 target vs. the dollar next year.
“EURUSD already above our year-end target of 1.17 and could squeeze higher
- German political uncertainty could be positive if Grand Coalition emerges
- Growth momentum exceptionally strong”
“14% move this year largest since 2014, but not extreme and less pronounced on a trade-weighted basis (+9%).”
“We target 1.20 for end-2018 but EURUSD is more likely to overshoot than to reverse lower
- Currency only just approaching fair value
- Global real money still structurally underweight, generating demand for euro assets
- Few signs of stronger euro weighing on growth
- First ECB rate hike priced very dovishly for 2020, and a repricing of the front-end would be more bullish than QE taper.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Follow us on Telegram
Stay updated of all the news
AUD/USD recovers to 0.6700 amid upbeat mood
AUD/USD is battling 0.6700, recovering losses induced by softer Australian monthly inflation data. The US Dollar is struggling to extend the rebound amid a better market mood, as the global banking jitters ease. Focus on US data, Fedspeak.
USD/JPY approaches 132.00 amid BoJ-speak, firmer yields
USD/JPY is holding higher ground, approaching the 132.00 level early Wednesday. The pair is capitalizing on the risk-on mood and higher US Treasury bond yields amid mixed comments from the BoJ policymakers. US housing data next on tap.
Gold to extend choppy trading, awaiting a fresh catalyst Premium
Gold price has paused the previous rebound early Wednesday, as the United States Dollar (USD) seems to have found its feet following a rough start to the week. However, the underlying strength in the US Treasury bond yields so far this week could limit the Gold price advance.
This is how Arbitrum and Optimism are dragging users away from Ethereum
Arbitrum became the highlight of the month as the Layer-2 (L2) blockchain launched its native token, ARB. Since then, the L2 narrative that was once the talking point of 2022 has exploded again.
Unfazed: Confidence edges higher despite banking situation
Consumers may not love the present conditions, but a slightly more upbeat take on where things are headed was enough to give overall confidence a nudge in the right direction in March.