|

EUR/JPY remains under pressure below the 158.00 mark, German GDP, CPI eyed

  • EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the second consecutive day.
  • German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3 is expected to contract by 0.3% QoQ vs. 0.2% rise prior.
  • Some analysts speculate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may tweak its yield curve control (YCC) approach.
  • Traders will closely monitor the German GDP and CPI ahead of the BoJ policy meeting.

The EUR/JPY cross loses traction below the 158.00 mark during the early European trading hours on Monday. That being said, the weaker-than-expected Eurozone economic data triggers the fear of recession in the Eurozone and exerts some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). The cross currently trades around 157.80, down 0.20% for the day.

Market players await the German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter (Q3), which is estimated to contract 0.3% QoQ versus 0.2% expansion in the previous reading. The worse-than-expected data could drag the EUR lower as Germany is the largest economy in Europe.

On the JPY’s front, the Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting will be the highlight this week. Some speculate that the BoJ may tweak its yield curve control (YCC) approach. According to a Reuters poll, economists anticipate the BoJ will end its negative interest rate policy next year, with more now expecting the central bank to abandon its ultra-accommodative monetary policy.

Market players will monitor the German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter (Q3) due later on Monday in the European session. Also, the preliminary Spanish Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October and the German CPI will be released. The focus will shift to BoJ's monetary policy decision on Tuesday. This event might trigger volatility in the financial markets and give a clear direction to the EUR/JPY cross.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price157.89
Today Daily Change-0.25
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open158.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA20157.89
Daily SMA50157.95
Daily SMA100157.09
Daily SMA200151.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High158.88
Previous Daily Low157.88
Previous Weekly High159.92
Previous Weekly Low157.88
Previous Monthly High158.66
Previous Monthly Low156.58
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%158.27
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%158.5
Daily Pivot Point S1157.72
Daily Pivot Point S2157.3
Daily Pivot Point S3156.72
Daily Pivot Point R1158.72
Daily Pivot Point R2159.3
Daily Pivot Point R3159.72

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.