|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests rising wedge bottom near 184.00

  • EUR/JPY tests the lower boundary of the rising wedge around 184.10.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 50 indicates neutral momentum.
  • The initial resistance lies at its 50-day EMA near 184.49.

EUR/JPY depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 184.20 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of a daily chart indicates that the spot remains within a rising wedge, signaling that the upward trend is losing momentum and that the wedge typically acts as a bearish reversal.

The EUR/JPY cross retains a constructive near-term tone as it holds above the nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), keeping price supported despite last week's pullback from the highs. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 50 suggests neutral momentum after the prior correction, hinting that directional conviction is still tentative while the broader uptrend structure remains intact.

The EUR/JPY cross tests the immediate support at the lower boundary of the rising wedge around 184.10, followed by the nine-day EMA of 183.78. A decisive break below this confluence support zone would revive the bearish bias, potentially pressing the currency cross down toward its eight-month low of 179.37, recorded on August 3. If downward momentum continues, the next key technical target lies at the nine-month low of 175.70.

On the upside, the primary resistance lies at its 50-day EMA near 184.49, followed by the upper boundary of the rising wedge around 185.80. A sustained break above the wedge could signal a broader bullish resurgence, opening the path for the currency cross to retest the area surrounding its all-time peak of 187.95 set on April 17.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.08%-0.09%-0.14%-0.04%-0.13%-0.22%-0.18%
EUR0.08%-0.04%-0.07%0.02%-0.03%-0.15%-0.09%
GBP0.09%0.04%-0.02%0.05%0.02%-0.12%-0.06%
JPY0.14%0.07%0.02%0.10%0.02%-0.08%-0.01%
CAD0.04%-0.02%-0.05%-0.10%-0.08%-0.18%-0.13%
AUD0.13%0.03%-0.02%-0.02%0.08%-0.10%-0.10%
NZD0.22%0.15%0.12%0.08%0.18%0.10%0.05%
CHF0.18%0.09%0.06%0.01%0.13%0.10%-0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.