|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rises above 183.00 to test nine-day EMA barrier

  • EUR/JPY eyes the immediate resistance at the nine-day EMA of 183.34.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 54 signals neutral, steady momentum after easing from overbought levels.
  • The primary support lies at the four-week low of 181.57 near the medium-term average.

EUR/JPY has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 183.20 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54 (neutral) signals steady momentum after easing from overbought. RSI edging higher toward the mid-50s supports stabilization without signaling a stretch.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises to 181.43, underpinning the medium-term uptrend. The nine-day EMA has slipped and now caps intraday advances, pointing to consolidation above the 50-day line. The backdrop favors dip-buying while the rising medium-term average holds.

A close back above the nine-day EMA at 183.34 would improve near-term traction toward overhead barriers around the all-time high of 184.95, which was recorded on December 22, aligned with the psychological level of 185.00.

Failure to reclaim the short-term average would leave the cross vulnerable to a deeper mean-reversion phase. The EUR/JPY cross may navigate the region around the initial support at the four-week low of 181.57, recorded on December 17, followed by the 50-day EMA at 181.43. Holding above the medium-term average preserves the broader bullish bias.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.05%0.02%0.16%0.10%0.07%0.14%0.00%
EUR0.05%0.06%0.20%0.14%0.12%0.18%0.05%
GBP-0.02%-0.06%0.15%0.08%0.05%0.12%-0.02%
JPY-0.16%-0.20%-0.15%-0.05%-0.09%-0.03%-0.16%
CAD-0.10%-0.14%-0.08%0.05%-0.04%0.03%-0.10%
AUD-0.07%-0.12%-0.05%0.09%0.04%0.07%-0.07%
NZD-0.14%-0.18%-0.12%0.03%-0.03%-0.07%-0.13%
CHF-0.00%-0.05%0.02%0.16%0.10%0.07%0.13%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks weaker, focus is back to 0.7100

AUD/USD reverses Tuesday’s gains and retreats markedly toward four-day troughs in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The firmer tone in the Greenback weighs on the risk complex amid unabated tensions on the US-Iran front, prompting the Aussie to shed part of recent gains and refocus on the downside. Moving forward, Australian trade balance results should entertain investors early on Thursday.

Japanese Yen bounces up from lows after Japan PM Takaichi’s intervention warnings

The Japanese Yen bounced up from five-week lows against the US Dollar, turning positive on the daily chart, as Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned that Tokyo is ready to take action against Yen weakness. The USD/JPY pair has pulled back from the 160.00 level, considered a line in the sand for Japanese authorities, to hit session lows at 159.55.

Gold remains under bearish pressure, looks at $4,400

Gold keeps the offered stance well in place, retreating toward the $4,430 region per troy ounce, or four-day lows, on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s retracement comes in response to escalating tensions in the Middle East, which in turn continue to drive oil prices higher while reinforcing the idea of a tighter-for-longer Fed.


XRP eyes rebound despite muted ETF demand
Ripple (XRP) rebounds above $1.23 from support at $1.20 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as the broader cryptocurrency market pares losses triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Appetite for risk assets remains generally low as the United States (US) and Iran exchange fire amid a fragile ceasefire and peace negotiations.
The upside-down math of debt
In 2010, Professors Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff published a paper, Growth in a Time of Debt, which instantly went viral. The main thesis of the paper was that once a government's debt-to-GDP ratio crosses above 90%, a financial crisis and default are around the corner.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.