|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds from 172.50 support near 50-day EMA

  • EUR/JPY may find its primary support at the 50-day EMA at 172.47.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index stays below 50, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
  • A rebound back into the ascending channel would restore the bullish bias.

EUR/JPY halts its three-day losing streak, trading around 172.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a shift from bullish to bearish bias as the currency cross is positioned slightly below the ascending channel pattern. However, a rebound back into the channel would suggest a false breakout, and the broader upward trend remains intact.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark, suggesting that bearish bias is strengthening. Additionally, the short-term price momentum is weaker as the EUR/JPY cross is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA at 172.47. A break below this level would dampen the medium-term price momentum and prompt the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the three-month low of 169.72, which was recorded on July 31.

A rebound into the ascending channel would revive the bullish bias and lead the EUR/JPY cross to test the nine-day EMA of 173.59. Further advances would improve the short-term price momentum and support the currency cross to explore the region around the upper boundary of the ascending channel at 175.30, followed by the all-time high of 175.43, reached in July 2024.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.04%0.00%0.04%0.07%-0.04%-0.28%-0.05%
EUR0.04%0.03%0.09%0.09%-0.02%-0.14%-0.03%
GBP-0.00%-0.03%0.08%0.03%-0.01%-0.15%-0.05%
JPY-0.04%-0.09%-0.08%0.00%-0.09%-0.44%-0.07%
CAD-0.07%-0.09%-0.03%-0.01%-0.11%-0.20%-0.12%
AUD0.04%0.02%0.01%0.09%0.11%-0.19%-0.02%
NZD0.28%0.14%0.15%0.44%0.20%0.19%0.26%
CHF0.05%0.03%0.05%0.07%0.12%0.02%-0.26%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD recovers toward 0.7000 amid improving mood

AUD/USD is firming up toward 0.7000 in Asia on Tuesday, helped by improving market mood. A pause in the US Dollar rebound also aids the pair's upside. However, geopolitical risks and caution ahead of AI tech earnings report could limit the pair.

USD/JPY flatlines near 158.50 as markets seek direction

USD/JPY steadies around 158.50 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of Japan’s National Consumer Price Index inflation data later on Friday. Meanwhile, elevated US bond yields provide some support to the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen.

Gold alternates gains with losses below $4,200

Gold prices trade without a clear direction on Tuesday, hovering around the $4,170 region per troy ounce and still struggling to regain upside traction following Monday’s pullback. In the meantime, lower US Treasury yields and a marked pullback in the US Dollar come in tandem with the yellow metal’s price action.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP tick lower amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin is trading above $81,000 on Tuesday, aligning with a lethargic tone in the broader cryptocurrency market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, reflect Bitcoin’s lock-step price action, trading below $2,400 and $1.30, respectively.

Markets at a turning point: Bitcoin, Gold, FX and Tech react to a heavy macro week

The new trading week opens with a mixed but revealing picture across global markets. Indices, commodities, FX, tech stocks, and cryptocurrencies are all sending one message: risk appetite is alive, but it is cautious, selective, and highly sensitive to macro signals.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.