- EUR/JPY weakens to near 158.80 in Wednesday’s early European session, down 0.06% on the day.
- The negative outlook of the cross prevails, with the bearish RSI indicator.
- The immediate resistance level emerges at 161.80; the first support level is seen at 158.10.
The EUR/JPY cross extends its downside to around 158.80 during the early European session on Wednesday. The risk-aversion across global markets provides some support to the safe-haven asset like the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Technically, EUR/JPY keeps the bearish vibe unchanged on the daily chart as the cross holds below the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Furthermore, the downward momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands below the midline near 45.80, suggesting that there could still be room for further downward movement in the near term.
Monday's low at 158.10 acts as an initial support level for the cross. A breach of this level will see a drop to 155.60, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. Extended losses could pave the way to 154.41, the low of August 5.
On the other hand, the first upside barrier emerges at 161.80, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. Any follow-through buying above the mentioned level could see a rally to 163.15, the 100-day EMA. The additional upside filter to watch is the 164.00 psychological mark.
EUR/JPY daily chart
Japanese Yen FAQs
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.
One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.
Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.
The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays weak below 1.0950 ahead of Fedspeak
EUR/USD stays defensive and edges lower toward 1.0900 on Monday. Broad risk aversion, amid the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and conflicts between China and Taiwan, underpin the safe-haven US Dollar as markets await Fedspeak.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.3050 area as markets turn cautious
GBP/USD trades modestly lower on the day near 1.3050, struggling to build on Friday's modest gains. Sustained US Dollar strength, due to looming geopolitical risks worldwide and China's economic concerns, doesn't allow the pair to gain traction.
Gold struggles to extend recovery, holds above $2,650
After gaining more than 1% on Friday, Gold finds it difficult to preserve its bullish momentum on Monday. Although escalating geopolitical tensions help XAU/USD limit its losses, the broad-based USD strength continues to cap the upside.
Five Fundamentals for the week: Explosive Middle East, ECB decision and US Retail Sales stand out Premium
Even on a bank holiday, markets are on the move. Concerns about Chinese stimulus and the Middle East stir markets, but the calendar offers several important events with the potential to shake things up. Here are five fundamentals for the week starting on October 14.
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
Five best Forex brokers in 2024
VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals.