- EUR/JPY recovers to near 160.00 in Friday’s early European session, gaining 0.45% on the day.
- BoJ’s Ueda said central bank will keep adjusting the degree of easing if our economic, price outlooks are to be realised.
- Investors await the ECB’s Lagarde speech for fresh impetus.
The EUR/JPY cross gains momentum around 160.00 during the early European session on Friday. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to keep its policy rate unchanged, as widely expected. However, the uncertain outlook of the BoJ monetary policy is likely to cap the upside of the Japanese Yen (JPY) for the time being.
The BoJ kept its benchmark interest rate steady in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, the highest level since 2008, at the conclusion of a two-day meeting on Friday. “The central bank is expected to hike rates in October, and “further dial back monetary support this year despite a poor run of economic data,” noted Stefan Angrick, associate director at Moody’s Analytics.
BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said during the press conference that the Japanese central bank “will keep adjusting the degree of easing if our economic and price outlooks are to be realized." Ueda added that uncertainties surrounding Japan's economy and prices remain high, and he will monitor the economy and market trends with an extremely high sense of urgency.
However, he affirmed there is no change to his thinking that the BoJ will keep raising rates if the economy moves in line with the outlook. The rising expectation that the BoJ will raise the interest rate later this year could lift the JPY against the Euro (EUR).
On the other hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its interest rates last week during its September meeting. Investors will take more cues from ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech later on Friday. Any dovish remarks from Lagarde could weigh on the shared currency in the near term, while the hawkish tone might lift the EUR.
Bank of Japan FAQs
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.
The Bank of Japan has embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy since 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds.
The Bank’s massive stimulus has caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process has exacerbated more recently due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy of holding down rates has led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen.
A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices have led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which has exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. With wage inflation becoming a cause of concern, the BoJ looks to move away from ultra loose policy, while trying to avoid slowing the activity too much.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD tumbles to 0.6450 amid weak Australian Q3 GDP and Chinese PMI
AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure, testing 0.6450 early Wednesday. The pair bears the brunt of weaker Australian Q3 GDP data, disappointing Chinese Caixin Services PMI and US-Sino trade worries. Focus shifts to more US data and Powell's speech.
USD/JPY consolidates the uptick to near 150.10
USD/JPY is back below 150.00 in Wednesday's Asian session, struggling to extend the latest leg higher as bets for a December BoJ rate hike underpin the the Japanese Yen. However, the downside remains capped amid increased haven demand for the US Dollar on growing tariff war fears.
Gold price traders await Powell's speech for rate cut cues
Gold price extends its sideways consolidative move during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opted to wait for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Apart from this, the US NFP report on Friday might provide cues about the interest rate outlook in the US and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding XAU/USD.
Paul Atkins shows reluctance to replace SEC Chair Gary Gensler
Paul Atkins, regarded as a leading candidate to succeed Gary Gensler as Chairman of the Securities & Exchange Commission, has reportedly expressed a lack of enthusiasm for the position.
The fall of Barnier’s government would be bad news for the French economy
This French political stand-off is just one more negative for the euro. With the eurozone economy facing the threat of tariffs in 2025 and the region lacking any prospect of cohesive fiscal support, the potential fall of the French government merely adds to views that the ECB will have to do the heavy lifting in 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.