|

EUR/JPY falls to near 170.00 as BoJ Meeting Minutes signal potential for rate hikes

  • EUR/JPY depreciates as BoJ Meeting Minutes indicate potential for rate hikes if the economy and prices move as expected.
  • Japan's Akazawa stated that he will urge the United States to swiftly implement the auto tariff order.
  • The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, as Eurozone annual inflation remained steady at 2.0% in July.

EUR/JPY remains subdued for the third successive session, trading around 170.20 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency cross continues to face challenges as the Japanese Yen (JPY) receives support after minutes from the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) June meeting indicated that many members expect the central bank to continue raising the policy rate if the economy, prices move in line with its forecast.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board members said inflation is somewhat overshooting the forecast, but must scrutinize economic developments due to downside risk to growth from the United States (US) tariff policy. A few members highlighted that uncertainty remains high, but downward pressure on Japan’s economy from US tariff policy may not be as strong as projected in the Bank of Japan’s previous meeting.

Japanese Economy Minister and chief trade negotiator, Ryosei Akazawa, said on Tuesday that he will push the United States (US) to give an order to take the auto tariff into effect as soon as possible. "One of the purposes of the US visit is to confirm details of the latest tariff agreement," Akazawa added.

However, the EUR/JPY cross may further appreciate as the Euro (EUR) could receive support from the prevailing cautious sentiment surrounding the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy outlook. Traders expect the ECB to hold rates steady as the Eurozone annual inflation held at 2.0% in July, slightly above the 1.9% forecast. Meanwhile, traders adopt caution amid the imposition of 15% US tariffs on goods imported from the European Union (EU).

Market participants will likely observe the HCOB Composite and Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from the Eurozone and Germany later in the day. The PMI report may offer fresh understanding of economic activity and potential future trends in the Eurozone.

Economic Indicator

BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

The Bank of Japan publishes a study of economic movements in Japan after the actual meeting. These meetings are held to review economic developments inside and outside of Japan and indicate a sign of new fiscal policy. Any changes in this report tend to affect the JPY volatility. Generally speaking, if the BoJ minutes show a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, while a dovish outlook is seen as negative (or bearish).

Read more.

Last release: Mon Aug 04, 2025 23:50

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Bank of Japan

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).