|

EUR is seeing marginal gains – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Monday’s NA session with a marginal 0.1% gain as it attempts to extend its modest recovery from last week’s lows, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

EUR sees support from spreads ahead of CPI Wednesday

"Yield spreads are showing signs of stabilization following their pullback from late September, offering fundamental support as market participants assess the outlook for relative central bank policy (specifically the Fed)."

"Near-term domestic risk lies with the release of preliminary euro area CPI data on Wednesday, with expectations of a slight increase in the headline figure (exp. 2.2% y/y vs. 2.0% prev.). Core is expected to remain unchanged at 2.3% y/y. ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak on Tuesday and is likely to reinforce the central bank’s neutral messaging on rates."

"The EUR is showing signs of stabilization with a modest recovery off of support in the mid-1.16s. The EUR is back above its 50 day MA (1.1680) and appears to have found support at the descending trend line drawn from the July highs. We see nothing in terms of resistance ahead of 1.18 and look to a nearterm range bound between 1.1680 and 1.1780."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold: 2026 could see new record-highs but a 2025-like rally is unlikely

Gold started the year on a bullish note and registered impressive gains in the first quarter. Following a consolidation phase during the summer months, the precious metal surged higher in the third quarter and reached an all-time record high of $4,381 in October. Although XAU/USD corrected lower, buyers refused to hand over the reins heading into the holiday season.

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.