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EUR/GBP remains on the defensive, holds steady above 0.8600 mark

  • EUR/GBP edges lower on Tuesday, albeit manages to hold above the 0.8600 mark.
  • Expectations for additional ECB rate hikes underpin the Euro and offer support.
  • The fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders.

The EUR/GBP cross attracts some intraday sellers near the 0.8625 region, albeit lacks any follow-through and manages to hold above the 0.8600 mark through the mid-European session.

The shared currency continues to draw support from rising bets for additional interest rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB), which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the EUR/GBP cross. Against the backdrop of the recent hawkish comments by several ECB officials, President Christine Lagarde indicated on Monday that additional interest rate rises were likely as there is no clear evidence that underlying inflation has peaked.

This, in turn, reaffirms expectations that the central bank is not done raising rates despite a fall in inflationary pressures. It is worth recalling that the headline Eurozone CPI decelerated more than anticipated to the 6.1% YoY rate in May from 7.0% previous. Moreover, Core CPI slowed from 5.6% YoY to 5.3% last month. That said, resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand is weighing on the Euro and exerting some pressure on the EUR/GBP cross.

Furthermore, speculations that the Bank of England (BoE) will be far more aggressive in policy tightening to contain stubbornly high inflation further contributes to capping the upside for the EUR/GBP cross. This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that spot prices have formed a near-term bottom and positioning for any meaningful recovery from a fresh YTD low, around the 0.8565 region touched last week.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8607
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open0.8613
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.867
Daily SMA500.8747
Daily SMA1000.8789
Daily SMA2000.8756
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8636
Previous Daily Low0.8595
Previous Weekly High0.8695
Previous Weekly Low0.8568
Previous Monthly High0.8835
Previous Monthly Low0.8583
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.862
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8611
Daily Pivot Point S10.8593
Daily Pivot Point S20.8573
Daily Pivot Point S30.8552
Daily Pivot Point R10.8635
Daily Pivot Point R20.8656
Daily Pivot Point R30.8676

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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