|

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Breaks lower, extending downtrend

  • EUR/GBP has broken lower and extended its downtrend on Tuesday. 
  • The RSI is showing a lack of bearish momentum accompanies the move and is converging with price.

EUR/GBP breaks lower after a brief pullback and continues its broader downtrend on Tuesday. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart 

The pair breaks below the 0.8317 September 24 low, confirming an extension of the downtrend towards the next target at 0.8287, the August 2022 low. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is converging bullishly with price when comparing the September 24 low and the current low (red dashed lines on chart). Although the current low is below that of September 24 the RSI is not. This non-confirmation signifies a lack of downside momentum accompanies the current sell-off and it might be a sign it will soon run out of steam. 

EUR/GBP has already reached the first downside target for the move that began at the August 5 high, at 0.8322. This is the 61.8% extrapolation of the August sell-off before the shallow channel formed in early September. Further downside beyond the target could be a sign, therefore, of overextension. 





 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.