|

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Breaks lower, extending downtrend

  • EUR/GBP has broken lower and extended its downtrend on Tuesday. 
  • The RSI is showing a lack of bearish momentum accompanies the move and is converging with price.

EUR/GBP breaks lower after a brief pullback and continues its broader downtrend on Tuesday. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart 

The pair breaks below the 0.8317 September 24 low, confirming an extension of the downtrend towards the next target at 0.8287, the August 2022 low. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is converging bullishly with price when comparing the September 24 low and the current low (red dashed lines on chart). Although the current low is below that of September 24 the RSI is not. This non-confirmation signifies a lack of downside momentum accompanies the current sell-off and it might be a sign it will soon run out of steam. 

EUR/GBP has already reached the first downside target for the move that began at the August 5 high, at 0.8322. This is the 61.8% extrapolation of the August sell-off before the shallow channel formed in early September. Further downside beyond the target could be a sign, therefore, of overextension. 





 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits nine-week lows below 0.7000 on RBA Bullock's remarks

AUD/USD reverses a brief uptick and turns lower to hit nine-week lows below 0.7000 in the European morning on Tuesday, as traders digest cautious remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock during the press conference. Earlier on, the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.60%, as widely expected, leaving the door open to further rate hikes if needed.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold regains some traction; focus remains on $4,100

Gold manages to gather some composure and bounces off recent lows near the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The move higher in the precious metal comes despite the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the board, while escalating geopolitical tensions appear to limit the downside potential.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP correct upward amid declining ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market upholds a neutral-to-bullish bias on Tuesday, with Bitcoin edging closer to a breakout above $84,000. Altcoins mirror BTC’s outlook, with Ethereum holding above $2,700 and Ripple pushing past the reclaimed $1.50 level.

RBA recap: Rate hikes are on the table as demand stays too strong

The Reserve Bank of Australia unanimously tightened monetary policy, warning that inflation remained too high and that several upside risks had begun to materialise. Governor Michele Bullock said the Board would raise rates again if necessary.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.