|

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Euro weakens near 0.8500 as short-term signals turn negative

  • EUR/GBP trades near the 0.8500 zone after declining through Thursday’s session.
  • Bearish bias prevails, confirmed by downside signals from momentum and short-term trend indicators.
  • Immediate support rests below, while key resistance aligns around recent moving averages.

The EUR/GBP pair drifted lower on Thursday, trading near the 0.8500 zone after the European session and settling within the middle of the day’s range. The decline reflects growing bearish sentiment in the short term, with technical signals tilting to the downside. While the longer-term outlook remains supported by major moving averages, current momentum favors sellers heading into the next trading phase.

From a technical perspective, the bearish tone is underscored by several indicators. The Relative Strength Index holds a neutral stance near 46, but the Moving Average Convergence Divergence continues to show a sell signal, reinforcing the current downtrend. The 10-period Momentum is also negative, suggesting selling interest is gradually building. Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index shows weak trend strength, indicating that while pressure is present, it has yet to fully solidify.

The short-term trend structure confirms the bearish view. The 10-day Exponential and Simple Moving Averages are both trending downward above price, while the 20-day Simple Moving Average also reinforces resistance. On the other hand, the longer-term 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages remain bullish, positioned well below and still sloping upward — suggesting broader structural support persists.

Support levels are found at 0.8470, 0.8457, and 0.8429. Resistance stands at 0.8498, 0.8499, and 0.8504. A breakdown below nearby support could expose the pair to a deeper correction, while a close above short-term resistance would be needed to challenge the prevailing bearish bias.

Daily Chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).