|

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Bulls await a move beyond 0.8585-90 confluence hurdle

  • EUR/GBP prolonged its recent move up and shot to four-week tops on the last day of the week.
  • The set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains in the near term.
  • Sustained weakness below 50-day SMA will negate the positive outlook and prompt fresh selling.

The EUR/GBP cross built on its recent strong rebound from the lowest level since February 2020, around mid-0.8400 and shot to four-week tops during the European session on Friday.

The momentum stalled just ahead of a confluence hurdle comprising of the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 0.8670-0.8450 downfall and 100-day SMA. The mentioned barrier, around the 0.8585-90 region, should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders and help determine the next leg of a directional move for the EUR/GBP cross.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart have just started moving into the positive zone and support prospects for an extension of the over one-week-old recovery move. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the said resistance before positioning for any further appreciating move.

The EUR/GBP cross might then accelerate the momentum towards an intermediate hurdle near the 0.8640-45 region before eventually climbing back towards July monthly swing highs, around the 0.8670 area. The next relevant resistance is pegged just above the 0.8700 mark, representing a technically significant 200-day SMA.

On the flip side, the 50% Fibo. level, around the 0.8555 area now seems to protect the immediate downside. This is closely followed by the 50-day SMA, which should now act as a strong base for the EUR/GBP cross. Failure to defend the said support levels might shift the near-term bias back in favour of bearish traders.

EUR/GBP daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8573
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.8561
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8513
Daily SMA500.855
Daily SMA1000.8591
Daily SMA2000.8714
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8566
Previous Daily Low0.8506
Previous Weekly High0.8518
Previous Weekly Low0.845
Previous Monthly High0.867
Previous Monthly Low0.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8543
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8529
Daily Pivot Point S10.8522
Daily Pivot Point S20.8484
Daily Pivot Point S30.8462
Daily Pivot Point R10.8583
Daily Pivot Point R20.8604
Daily Pivot Point R30.8643

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.