|

EUR/GBP consolidates on positive UK Retail Sales and Trump’s EU tariff threat

  • The British Pound Sterling steadies on upbeat Retail Sales data.
  • The Euro pauses as markets digest Trump’s 50% tariff proposal on EU imports.
  • EUR/GBP rises off seven-week lows with investors closely monitoring developments in major economies.

The Euro (EUR) is trading in a tight range against the British Pound (GBP) after Friday’s positive UK Retail Sales data and a resurgence of tariff uncertainty contributed to global risk sentiment.

With EUR/GBP consolidating around the critical level of 0.84 at the time of writing, investors are closely monitoring developments in EU-US trade tensions, which will likely influence the broader economic outlook.

UK Retail Sales surprise to the upside, with German GDP overshadowed by Trump’s EU tariff threat

For the United Kingdom, positive Retail Sales data were released on Friday, reflecting an increase in consumer spending in April. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that Retail Sales rose by 1.2% on a MoM basis, beating estimates of 0.2% and far above the negatively revised 0.1% reported in March. 

The robust data raises the prospects that the Bank of England (BoE) may keep interest rates steady in June, allowing the central bank to focus on elevated inflation levels reported on Thursday.

For the EU, recent economic data helped boost demand for the Euro against its peers this week. On Friday, Germany’s Growth Domestic Product (GDP) surprised to the upside, with Europe’s largest economy growing by 0.4% on the quarter and 0% on an annual basis. Analysts had anticipated a 0.2% increase in Q1, with the economy expected to contract by 0.2% YoY.

However, gains were capped by the US President's post on Truth Social on Friday morning that revealed intensifying trade tensions. Trump proposed a 50% tariff on EU imports starting June 1 due to his frustration with trade negotiations.

As the EU and the UK await further economic data releases that may continue to drive interest rate expectations and growth forecasts, EUR/GBP may continue to consolidate in the short term.

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.64%-0.72%-0.94%-0.87%-1.14%-1.36%-0.95%
EUR0.64%-0.08%-0.28%-0.23%-0.48%-0.70%-0.29%
GBP0.72%0.08%-0.19%-0.15%-0.37%-0.63%-0.21%
JPY0.94%0.28%0.19%0.07%-0.21%-0.42%-0.01%
CAD0.87%0.23%0.15%-0.07%-0.28%-0.48%-0.07%
AUD1.14%0.48%0.37%0.21%0.28%-0.21%0.20%
NZD1.36%0.70%0.63%0.42%0.48%0.21%0.41%
CHF0.95%0.29%0.21%0.00%0.07%-0.20%-0.41%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Tammy Da Costa, CFTe®

Tammy is an economist and market analyst with a deep passion for financial markets, particularly commodities and geopolitics.

More from Tammy Da Costa, CFTe®
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key US data releases and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.