|

EUR/GBP bullish outlook softens as bears threaten the 200-day SMA

  • The EUR/GBP suffers losses, positioned at 0.8660 with a decline of 0.30%.
  • Daily chart indicators reveal signs of bearish momentum with RSI's negative bias and MACD's waning positive momentum.
  • Despite a temporary bearish outlook, the broader term sees bulls in control.
  • The Cross will close a 2% yearly loss.

In Friday's session, the EUR/GBP slipped down to 0.8660, shedding a small 0.30%. Breathing room for bearish activities emerged after the pair gained 1% last week. Both daily and four-hour charts signal a neutral to bullish bias, with buyers slightly dominating and significant strides marked in the four-hour indicators.

The degrading slope of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on positive ground suggests that the buying momentum has slowed down. The green bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) display a declining pattern, indicating a transition from bullish to bearish momentum. However, divergently, the pair is hovering above its 20,100,200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). This underpins a bullish longer-term narrative despite the short-term indicators predominately leaning toward the sellers, especially after the near 1% weekly gain.

Shifting the focus to the shorter time frame, the four-hour chart, the bears covered some considerable territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), showing a downward inclination, is in negative territory, pointing out an intensified bearish momentum aligning with the decreasing green bars in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), echoing the dominant selling force.


Support Levels: 0.8655 (200-day SMA), 0.8640 (100-day SMA), 0.8620 (20-day SMA).
Resistance Levels: 0.8700, 0.8750, 0.8800.

EUR/GBP daily chart

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8661
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open0.869
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.862
Daily SMA500.8671
Daily SMA1000.8642
Daily SMA2000.8657
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8715
Previous Daily Low0.8669
Previous Weekly High0.8686
Previous Weekly Low0.8592
Previous Monthly High0.8766
Previous Monthly Low0.8614
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8697
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8687
Daily Pivot Point S10.8668
Daily Pivot Point S20.8646
Daily Pivot Point S30.8622
Daily Pivot Point R10.8714
Daily Pivot Point R20.8737
Daily Pivot Point R30.876

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD declines to near 1.3500 as US-Iran tensions rise

The GBP/USD pair declines to near 1.3500 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East provide some support to a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar against the British Pound. All eyes will be on the US August jobs report later on Friday.

EUR/USD falls to two-week low below 1.1600 on broad USD strength

EUR/USD remains under bearish pressure after closing in negative territory on Tuesday and trades at its lowest level in two weeks below 1.1600 on Wednesday. As tensions in the Middle East escalate further, the US Dollar gathers strength on risk-aversion and hawkish Fed repricing, forcing the pair to stay on the back foot. Later in the day, private sector employment data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

Gold recovers above $4,300; upside seems capped as Fed bets support USD

Gold recovers early lost ground to a four-week low, and trades above $4,320 heading into the European session. A modest US Dollar pullback is seen as a key factor supporting the commodity, though any meaningful upside seems elusive amid hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations. The escalating Middle East conflict lifted crude oil prices to a fresh high since July 24, stoking inflation fears and reaffirming bets for a Fed rate hike in September.

WTI advances to mid-$90.00s, fresh high since July 24 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – scales higher for the third straight day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to a fresh high since July 24 during the Asian session on Wednesday.

ADP Employment Report is expected to show a moderate increase in private payrolls in August

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for August next Wednesday. The ADP Employment Change report is expected to show that the United States private sector added 47K new positions this month, little changed from the 44K new jobs reported in July.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.