|

EUR/GBP breaks below the 100-day SMA to fresh lows near 0.8550

  • The better tone in GBP drags the cross lower to the mid-0.8500s.
  • Positive headlines around Brexit help the Sterling.
  • May’s plan could be backed by some Labour MPs.

The now better mood around the British Pound is dragging EUR/GBP to test fresh lows in the mid-0.8500s, although rebounding soon afterwards.

EUR/GBP offered on Brexit headlines

The European cross picked up extra downside pressure today in response to positive headlines from the Brexit front. In fact, news hit the wires that some labour MPs could support PM May’s Brexit plan at today’s vote, although it is still not clear if that would be enough to see her motion passing the House of Commons.

Moving forward, all the attention will be on the House of Commons once again, as MPs will vote only on the withdrawal agreement at 1430 GMT.

Earlier in the session UK GDP figures noted the economy expanded 0.2% inter-quarter during the October-December period and 1.4% on an annualized basis. Additional UK data saw Business Investment contracting 0.9% QoQ during the same period, bettering expectations.

On this side of the Channel, German Retail Sales came in above forecasts during February, the jobless rate inched lower to 4.9% despite the unemployment decreased less than expected.

EUR/GBP key levels

The cross is retreating 0.35% at 0.8571 and a breach of 0.8483 (low Mar.27) would expose 0.8471 (2019 low Mar.13) and then 0.8402 (monthly low Feb.22 2017). On the other hand, the next up barrier aligns at 0.8629 (high Mar.29) seconded by 0.8674 (55-day SMA) and finally 0.8722 (high Mar.22).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold stalls recovery from three-month low as Fed hike bets and USD uptick cap gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest intraday bounce from levels below the $4,000 psychological mark, or a three-month low set during the Asian session, and sticks to a negative tone for the second straight day. The Federal Reserve recently signaled that there is no urgency to raise interest rates. Traders, however, are still pricing in around an 80% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs again at its December policy meeting.

Cardano: Whale selling deepens correction
Cardano (ADA) edges higher by nearly 2% on Friday, following a roughly 6% decline the previous day. The pullback aligns with the sell-side appeal among large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, and Cardano derivatives. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, with downside momentum persisting. Whales are losing their appetite for holding ADA tokens, fueling near-term selling pressure.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.