|

EUR/CAD Price Forecast: Breaks out of rectangular price pattern and declines

  • EUR/CAD has broken below the base of a multi-month price pattern. 
  • It is likely to go lower if the break is decisive and it can pierce below the 200-day SMA. 

EUR/CAD has broken out of the rectangular price pattern it has been forming since August.

EUR/CAD Daily Chart 

A bearish close on Monday (today) would confirm a decisive breakout from the pattern. The usual method for determining the follow-through after a breakout would be to take the height of the range and extrapolate it lower by 61.8% – or in the case of an optimistic forecast 100%. 

In the case of EUR/CAD this gives a minimum  downside target of 1.4684. A break clearly below the green 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) would provide confirmation. The SMA lies at 1.4839, however, a break below 1.4820 would confirm a clear break and probably confirm a continuation lower to the aforementioned conservative target. 

The 100% target for the pattern lies at 1.4555.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold stuck around $4,300 as markets turn cautious

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.