|

EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Euro softens toward 1.5600 but broader trend stays constructive

  • EUR/CAD trades near the 1.5600 zone after slipping slightly in Tuesday’s post-European session.
  • Bullish bias persists on longer timeframes, despite short-term indicators showing weakness.
  • Support holds just below while dynamic resistance from short-term averages remains in place.

The EUR/CAD pair edged lower on Tuesday, hovering near the 1.5600 area after the European session as the pair retreated within the day’s range. Although the move reflects mild selling pressure, the broader trend structure remains favorable for buyers, particularly when viewed through the lens of longer-term averages. Short-term signals remain mixed, keeping directional conviction limited for now.

Momentum indicators offer little clarity. The Relative Strength Index stands neutral near the 48 level, reflecting equilibrium in buying and selling pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence prints a sell signal, hinting at near-term softness, while both the Awesome Oscillator and Average Directional Index stay neutral, suggesting consolidation rather than trend exhaustion.

The bullish tilt is primarily supported by higher timeframes. The 50-day Exponential and Simple Moving Averages both sit below the market and continue to slope upward, joined by strong positioning of the 100-day and 200-day SMAs. These longer-term indicators provide a sturdy technical foundation despite the short-term hesitation, where the 20-day SMA points lower and may act as dynamic resistance in the near term.

Key support is found at 1.5593, 1.5570, and 1.5534. Resistance stands at 1.5633, 1.5645, and 1.5671. A move above this resistance band could reassert bullish momentum, while a break below support would shift attention back toward the rising medium-term trendlines.

Daily Chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces the next support around 1.1600

EUR/USD comes under pressure and retreats for the fourth day in a row on Tuesday, coming closer to the key 1.1600 neighbourhood amid a decent rebound in the US Dollar ahead of the largely expected 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

GBP/USD extends mean reversion as investors brace for Fed

GBP/USD eased back toward the midrange on Tuesday, shedding around one-fifth of one percent after facing an intraday technical rejection from the 1.3350 level. Price action has slumped back into the 1.3300 handle and is holding just north of the long-term 200-day Exponential Moving Average near 1.3250 as markets hunker down for the last Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision of 2025.

Gold defends $4,200 in Asia as traders gear up for the Fed

Gold price bounces off $4,200 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal finds fresh demand as traders seek safety ahead of the Fed verdict, with a 25 bps rate cut fully priced in. However, a hawkish stance on future monetary policy outlook cannot be ruled out. 

Ethereum: Whales accumulate ETH ahead of Fed meeting

Ethereum is up 6% on Tuesday following increased whale buying activity and President Donald Trump's remarks concerning the next Federal Reserve Chair.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure amid mixed technical signals 

Bitcoin is trading above $90,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday amid sticky risk-off sentiment in the broader crypto market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are paring losses, holding above key support levels.