Elliott Wave perspective: Exxon Mobil (XOM) bearish cycle signals further weakness [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

Exxon Mobil (XOM) continues to exhibit an incomplete bearish sequence from the March 30, 2026 high, maintaining a bias toward further downside. The broader structure suggests that the stock has yet to reach its extreme target zone, defined by the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension. This area, located between $107.9 and $129.2, is where buyers are expected to emerge and potentially stabilize the decline. Until then, the prevailing momentum favors weakness.

In the short term, the decline from the June 4, 2026 high is unfolding as an impulsive structure. Within this move, wave 1 terminated at $149.3, followed by a corrective rally in wave 2 that ended at $153.81. The stock then nested lower, with wave ((i)) concluding at $147.78 and wave ((ii)) retracing to $152.52. This sequence reinforced the bearish pressure and set the stage for deeper losses.

Subsequently, the market extended lower in wave ((iii)), reaching $135.85. At present, wave ((iv)) is advancing as a corrective rally, designed to retrace the cycle from the June 11 high. This rally is expected to unfold in either three or seven swings before the decline resumes. The projected resistance lies at the 100%–161.8% extension of wave (a), spanning $140.6–$142.81. Sellers are anticipated to reassert control within this zone, limiting the corrective strength.

Near term, the pivot at $154.92 remains decisive. As long as this level holds, rallies are expected to fail in three or seven swings, reinforcing the bearish outlook and favoring continuation toward the broader extension targets.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) 45-minute Elliott Wave chart

XOM Elliott Wave [Video]

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD trims losses, hovers around 1.1350

EUR/USD now regains some composure and rebounds to the 1.1350 zone on Wednesday, partially reversing the prior pullback to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. Meanwhile, spot remains on the back foot as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold puts $4,000 to the test, new yearly lows

Gold accelerates its decline and gyrates around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2025. In the meantime, tighter-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the yellow metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.