ECB unlikely to raise interest rates further after the expected 25 bps hike in June – Commerzbank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

In May, Euro area inflation surprised to the downside. Subsequently, economists at Commerzbank expect the ECB to deliver a final 25 basis points hike in June.

Euro area inflation rate drops to 6.1%

In the Euro area, the inflation rate continues to retreat. In May, it fell from 7.0% to 6.1%. Following the marked decline in energy prices, a correction is now also emerging in food prices, which had previously risen sharply.

Even more important from the ECB's point of view, however, is the fact that underlying inflation has probably passed its peak. This supports our expectation that the ECB will raise key interest rates by 25 bps for the last time in June.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, tests $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs to the $5,400 region, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin on brink of breakdown amid US-Iran war

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure near the key support level of $65,700. Trading at $66,400 at the time of writing on Monday, a breakdown below this critical level would suggest a deeper correction ahead.

The week ahead: Conflict in the Middle East jolts markets

Events in the Middle East are obviously dominating financial markets this morning. The Brent crude oil price is extending gains and is higher by more than 8%, stock futures are pointing lower and the gold price is higher by more than 2%.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.