The research team at TDS explains that the focus for today will be the ECB’s rate decision, but we also have German inflation data for April.

Key Quotes

“We’ll get a better picture of where it’s tracking with the regional data released through the morning, but our early forecast calls for HICP to rebound from 1.5% to 1.8% y/y, a touch below consensus of 1.9%. For the ECB we’re looking for an upbeat tone overall, as Draghi focuses on the continued strength in economic momentum.”

“The biggest risk of a surprise in our view is that the ECB upgrades the balance of risks to growth from the downside to broadly balanced, to which we attach a 30% probability, as the minutes noted that “a number” of Governing Council members were already leaning that way in March. While markets are widely looking for that change in language to come in June, it would be a bit of a surprise to see it pulled forward quite so much. However, our base case sees forward guidance and all other key language unchanged, and while the upbeat message on growth would normally push the EUR higher, we look instead for a fairly steady range after the big pop higher on the back of Sunday’s French election. We may see a larger move in rates though, which don’t appear to be as stretched.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Take advantage of market volatility with our daily Forex, Crypto and Indices Trade Ideas!

Become Premium!    

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds on to weekly gains, aims to 1.2100

EUR/USD pressures this week high at 1.2079 after the EU services sector moved back into expansion territory according to Markit, the first time since August.


GBP/USD extends decline towards the 1.3800 price zone

Upbeat UK data fell short of boosting the pound, hurt by Brexit jitters in Ireland. US macroeconomic figures making the difference in the dollar’s favor.


Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP plummet, breaching critical support levels

Bitcoin price has dropped 12.7% since yesterday and shows no signs of stopping. Ethereum price follows the pioneer crypto’s lead and might retest $2,000 again. Unlike BTC or ETH, XRP price shows signs of recovery as long as it stays above a critical demand zone.

Read more

XAU/USD drops below $1,780 area as US T-bond yields rebound

Gold lost its traction after climbing toward $1,800 on Friday. 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up nearly 2%. Latest PMI data from US underlined strong price pressures.

Gold News

Bionano Genomics Inc runs into technical resistance, put options may work here

BNGO shares have continued to suffer post the retail meme crowd moving on. BNGO shares bounce from lows as DeMark buy signal flashes on Monday. BNGO shares trend up to resistance at 100 day moving average.

Read more