|

ECB Lane: ECB still trying to reach neutral, not yet taking a stand on whether that will be enough

The exchange rate channel is not significant enough to influence monetary policy the European Central Bank’s chief economist, Philip Lane said.

Key notes

  • ECB still trying to reach neutral, not yet taking a stand on whether that will be enough.
  • No "fixed formula" for TPI, is meant to address situations where there is dysfunction or overshooting.
  • Important ECB "retain judgment" over circumstances in which TPI is triggered.

Earlier in the week, Lane said “our interest rate hikes will slow demand in the economy.” 

''I would strongly warn firms not to expect the same level of profitability in times of high inflation.

Because of the war and the high energy prices, there are many indicators that the economy is going to slow down. 

We are now making sizeable interest rates increases. This should make it clear to businesses and workers that demand conditions will become less favorable.''

Nevertheless, the euro has seen a significant turnaround on the back of a sell-off of the US dollar from 20-year highs into month end. A hot German inflation print has also underpinned renewed demand for the single currency that is trading some 0.5% higher on the day. 

    
 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold maintains its positive momentum, trades around $4,330

The XAU/USD pair gained on a deteriorated market mood, trading near its weekly highs near $4,340. The bright metal advances with caution as market players await first-tier events in Europe and hte United States.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.