|

DXY: Guarded against complacency – DBS

Profit-taking sent the USD and US bond yields lower before the long Thanksgiving holiday starting today.US stock and bond markets will be closed on Thursday and Friday before returning on Monday, DBS’ Senior FX Strategist Philip Wee notes.

Too early to underestimate Trump’s tariff threats

“The DXY Index fell a second time in three days by 0.9% to 106, its lowest close since November 11. US inflation data met expectations; October’s PCE headline and core inflation were unchanged at 0.2% MoM and 0.3%, respectively, the same level as a month ago.”

The futures market increased the probability (66.5% vs. 52.3% a week ago) of the Fed lowering rates by 25 bps to 4.00-4.25% at its FOMC meeting on December 18.The US Treasury 2Y yield fell a third session by 2.9 bps to 4.23%, its lowest close since November 7.”

“The 10Y yield ended November at 4.26%, near the month’s low of 4.22% seen on November 1. US fiscal sustainability worries ebbed after Trump nominated prominent hedge fund manager Steve Bessent as US Treasury Secretary.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.