Downhill for the US Dollar in 2023 – CIBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

With the Fed set to undershoot market expectations for the peak fed funds rate, and attention turning to policy tightening in other advanced economies, economists at CIBC Capital Markets look for the USD to weaken in 2023.

USD to fall out of favour over 2023

“We see some modest upside in the USD from potential data surprises that might tilt market pricing for Fed rate hikes at the margin. However, we’d look past that as the upcoming ‘step down’ to 25 bps hikes has been telegraphed by the market for now.”

“The USD should continue to come under pressure in the quarters ahead as the protracted showdown over the debt ceiling leads to an increased premium on USD valuation.”

“When layered with a much better backdrop outside of North America, this year is shaping up to be a difficult one for USD bulls.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro clings to the bid bias above 1.1500

EUR/USD has picked up pace, reversing Monday’s decline and advancing past the 1.1500 barrier on Tuesday. In the meantime, hopes for a diplomatic solution to the Middle East crisis keep the US Dollar under modest downside pressure, helping spot in its recovery.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends technical weakness despite whales increasing exposure

Ripple (XRP) declines for a second day in a row, trading around $1.07 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The remittance token has continued to sustain a bearish outlook, aligning with the broader cryptocurrency market.

Volatility waits for fresh catalyst ahead of US-Iran 'talks'

EU mid-market update: SpaceX and AMD to report after the close; Volatility waits for fresh catalyst ahead of US-Iran 'talks'. - Middle East and energy drives sentiment still.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.