|

Dow Jones Industrial Average jumps 500 points as ISM manufacturing signals expansion

• The Dow Jones surged over 500 points on Monday as factory activity expanded for the first time in over a year.

• Oracle shares rallied after the company announced plans to raise up to $50 billion to expand cloud infrastructure.

Gold and silver pared losses from Friday's historic crash, while bitcoin stabilized above $78,000.

• Friday's jobs report suspended as government shutdown keeps federal agencies underfunded.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) jumped 504 points, or 1%, on Monday as Wall Street began February on a strong note, shaking off concerns from last week's precious metals rout. The S&P 500 rose 0.7%, buoyed by gains in Oracle Corporation (ORCL) shares following the company's announcement of a massive cloud expansion funding plan. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.8%. Investors looked past recent losses in silver and bitcoin to focus on upbeat manufacturing data and a solid earnings season, with strategists noting that double-digit profit growth for a fifth consecutive quarter could help ease valuation concerns.

ISM manufacturing surges into expansion territory

US factory activity in January expanded for the first time in a year, the Institute for Supply Management reported Monday. The ISM manufacturing index jumped to 52.6, a 4.7-point increase from December and well ahead of the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 48.4. Prior to this reading, the index had been in contraction territory, below 50, for 26 consecutive months. The new orders index leapt 9.7 points to 57.1, its highest level since February 2022, while production surged 5.2 points to 55.9. Employment improved by 3.3 points to 48.1, though it remained below the 50 threshold, indicating growth.

Oracle rallies on cloud expansion plan; Nvidia slips on OpenAI doubts

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) shares climbed after the company announced Sunday that it plans to raise between $45 billion and $50 billion during 2026 to build additional cloud infrastructure capacity for major customers including Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), Meta Platforms Inc. (META), and OpenAI. Meanwhile, Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) fell 1% after The Wall Street Journal reported that the chipmaker's plans to invest $100 billion in OpenAI had stalled, with executives expressing doubt about the deal. The contrasting moves highlighted ongoing uncertainty about artificial intelligence investment returns even as hyperscalers continue committing massive capital to data center buildouts.

Metals and crypto stabilize after Friday's historic rout

Gold and Silver came off their lows on Monday, helping ease risk-off sentiment across markets. Spot Gold fell 4% while spot Silver dropped 7%, paring steeper losses from Friday when silver plunged around 30% in its worst single-day performance since 1980, and gold tumbled roughly 10%. Bitcoin fell below $80,000 for the first time since April, then stabilized above $78,000. The cryptocurrency's decline reflected investors taking risk off the table following the sharp precious metals selloff, though the recovery in metals prices helped trim equity losses and calmed jittery markets.

Earnings season on track for strongest growth in four years

More than 100 S&P 500 companies are set to report this week, including Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), both of which traded higher Monday. Deutsche Bank strategists noted that earnings growth is on track to be the strongest in four years, with roughly 78% of reporting companies beating expectations, according to FactSet. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported results that topped analyst estimates but fell 4% after warning of headwinds from international travelers at domestic parks. The overall season has been solid despite some high-profile post-earnings declines, including Microsoft Corporation (MSFT).

Jobs report suspended amid ongoing government shutdown

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics advised markets Monday that Friday's scheduled release of the January Nonfarm Payrolls report will be suspended until federal government operations resume. The agency's website noted that updates have been halted due to the suspension of federal services, with the last update occurring Monday. Late 2025 saw the longest government-funding freeze on record, and despite a short-term stopgap solution that provided operating cash through the end of January, Capitol Hill continues to struggle to reach a budgetary consensus, leaving key federal offices underfunded and economic data releases in limbo.

Dow Jones daily chart

S&P 500 FAQs

The S&P 500 is a widely followed stock price index which measures the performance of 500 publicly owned companies, and is seen as a broad measure of the US stock market. Each company’s influence on the computation of the index is weighted based on market capitalization. This is calculated by multiplying the number of publicly traded shares of the company by the share price. The S&P 500 index has achieved impressive returns – $1.00 invested in 1970 would have yielded a return of almost $192.00 in 2022. The average annual return since its inception in 1957 has been 11.9%.

Companies are selected by committee, unlike some other indexes where they are included based on set rules. Still, they must meet certain eligibility criteria, the most important of which is market capitalization, which must be greater than or equal to $12.7 billion. Other criteria include liquidity, domicile, public float, sector, financial viability, length of time publicly traded, and representation of the industries in the economy of the United States. The nine largest companies in the index account for 27.8% of the market capitalization of the index.

There are a number of ways to trade the S&P 500. Most retail brokers and spread betting platforms allow traders to use Contracts for Difference (CFD) to place bets on the direction of the price. In addition, that can buy into Index, Mutual and Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) that track the price of the S&P 500. The most liquid of the ETFs is State Street Corporation’s SPY. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) offers futures contracts in the index and the Chicago Board of Options (CMOE) offers options as well as ETFs, inverse ETFs and leveraged ETFs.

Many different factors drive the S&P 500 but mainly it is the aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in their quarterly and annual company earnings reports. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment, which if positive drives gains. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the S&P 500 as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD challenges 1.1800, multi-day lows

EUR/USD comes under extra selling pressure, slipping back toward six-day troughs near 1.1800 at the beginning of the week. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar, as investors continue to digest the so-called “Warsh trade” and assess the latest US ISM Manufacturing prints.

GBP/USD stays on the back foot around 1.3650

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s losses and retests the 1.3650 region on Monday. Indeed, Cable’s retracement reflects the ongoing solid performance of the Greenback, while traders also begin to turn their attention to the upcoming BoE meeting.

Gold looking to stabilize below $4,700

Gold remains under heavy pressure in quite a negative start to the week, hovering around the $4,600 region per troy ounce, down for the third consecutive day. The yellow metal’s decline comes amid strong gains in the US Dollar and a broad-based rebound in US Treasury yields.

XRP holds near support amid low retail interest and weak on-chain metrics

Ripple (XRP) is trading above $1.60 on Monday, attempting to recover from last week’s sharp decline that tested support at $1.50.

Warsh effect ripples through markets, central banks on deck this week

The first full month of the year is behind us, and, honestly, it has been rather more dramatic than most had anticipated when toasting the New Year. We wrapped up last week with US President Donald Trump announcing his Fed Chair pick. 

Ripple steadies after sell-off as low on-chain activity, retail interest weigh

XRP rebounds from last week’s support at $1.50 but struggles below resistance at $1.77. Active addresses on the XRP Ledger dropped below 18,000 on Sunday amid risk-averse sentiment. Retail interest in XRP continues to decline, with futures Open Interest dropping to $2.81 billion.