Dow Jones futures moves little ahead of US economic data
- Dow Jones futures remain silent amid market caution ahead of the US Producer Price Index data on Thursday.
- US President Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent both indicated that Fed interest rates should be lower.
- CME’s FedWatch tool suggests pricing in a nearly 96% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September.
Dow Jones futures steadied during early European trading on Thursday, ahead of the regular North American market open, trading near 45,000. S&P 500 futures fell 0.8% to trade near 6,450, while Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.8%, trading near 23,900.
US stock futures move little as traders adopt caution ahead of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data and weekly Initial Jobless Claims later in the day. The upcoming US economic figures could influence the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook.
US markets may draw support as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview on Wednesday that there is a good chance that the central bank could opt for a 50 basis point rate cut in September. Additionally, US President Donald Trump shared his "paper calculation" that Fed interest rates should be at or near 1%.
However, market sentiment also improved as the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.2% month-over-month in July, easing from the previous 0.3% increase. The softer monthly inflation indicated that US tariffs are not fueling price pressures, along with a cooling labor market, which reinforced a dovish sentiment surrounding Fed policy outlook. CME’s FedWatch tool suggests that Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in nearly a 96% chance of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at the September meeting.
On Wednesday’s regular market, the Dow Jones surged 1.04%, the S&P 500 climbed 0.32%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.14%. AMD rose by 5.4%, and Paramount Skydance soared 36.7%. However, several mega-cap tech stocks, including Microsoft, Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Meta, declined.
Economic Indicator
Producer Price Index (YoY)
The Producer Price Index released by the Bureau of Labor statistics, Department of Labor measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of the US by producers of commodities in all states of processing. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Read more.Next release: Thu Aug 14, 2025 12:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 2.5%
Previous: 2.3%
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Author
Akhtar Faruqui
FXStreet
Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.
