|

Dollar’s bounce may have ground on a bit further – SocGen

All eyes are on US Core PCE today as the Dollar remains bid. Kit Juckes, Chief Global FX Strategist at Société Générale, expects the greenback to remain underpinned by strong figures.

Key US data releases

“This morning has thrown up a small downward revision to German Q4 GDP, soft but unsurprising French retail sales data but eyes are on US January personal income and spending data.”

“The consensus looks for a chunky 0.4% monthly rise in the core PCE deflator, which nevertheless can see the annual rate fall to 4.3%, and a 1.1% monthly gain in real personal spending, thanks to the weather. If that’s how it works out, the market may continue to wonder whether we’ll get more than three 25 bps hikes before the FOMC is done tightening, and Dollar’s bounce may have ground on a bit further.”

See – US Core PCE Preview: Forecasts from eight major banks, meaningful acceleration

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stall after US CPI-driven mild rally

The cryptocurrency market pauses on Wednesday, following a brief, macro-driven rally the previous day. Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating above $64,500, signaling waning bullish momentum and increased profit-taking as sellers emerge.

The conflict in the Middle East: A massive blow to growth in the Gulf
For the first time since 2009 (excluding COVID), the GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is expected to contract this year (-0.8%), whereas pre-conflict forecasts had predicted growth of 4.7%.
-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.