|

Crude Oil Analysis: WTI set for more downside below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement

  • WTI prints some gains in the Asian session.
  • The risk to the downside remains on four-hour chart.
  • Bearish momentum oscillators tilt in favor of bears.

Oil prices remain off the lows and manage to stay above $64.90 in the Asian session. WTI faces stiff resistance near $66.50 as of Wednesday, and prices came under selling pressure after making a daily high of 66.75.

At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $64.92, up 0.32% on the day.

WTI four hourly chart

On the four-hour chart, WTI has been nursing the previous day’s losses while making an effort to reclaim the $65 psychological mark. Prices are hovering around the  50% Fibonacci retracement level placed near $64.80 with the possibility of falling toward $64.50,  which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is above the midline, after completing a bearish crossover. This displays that bears are gaining momentum, and could potentially drag prices toward  $64 horizontal support,  followed by weekly lows of $62.88 (May 3).

If prices begin moving higher,  the first hurdle emerges near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $65.30, and then at $65.80. This Coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Bulls will keep their eyes on Wednesdays high at  $66.70.

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price64.84
Today Daily Change-0.43
Today Daily Change %-0.66
Today daily open65.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA2062.6
Daily SMA5062.22
Daily SMA10057.71
Daily SMA20049.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High66.7
Previous Daily Low64.9
Previous Weekly High65.4
Previous Weekly Low60.64
Previous Monthly High65.4
Previous Monthly Low57.66
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%65.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%66.01
Daily Pivot Point S164.55
Daily Pivot Point S263.82
Daily Pivot Point S362.75
Daily Pivot Point R166.35
Daily Pivot Point R267.43
Daily Pivot Point R368.15

Author

Rekha Chauhan

Rekha Chauhan

Independent Analyst

Rekha Chauhan has been working as a content writer and research analyst in the forex and equity market domain for over two years.

More from Rekha Chauhan
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.